¹Jun Liao ,²Yuanyuan Gao,³Keji Liu

^1,2,3School of Management Science & Technology, Anhui University of Finance & Economics, Bengbu Anhui, 233030, China

In this paper, Bengbu City, Anhui Province, China, was selected as the study area, based on three phases of multispectral image data in 2000, 2010 2020, to reflect the dynamic land use change characteristics of Bengbu City in the last decade in detail, used ArcGIS software for data processing, through the transfer matrix, land use dynamic attitude, land use change amplitude, respectively, the land use characteristics in the study area and its overall change trend were quantitatively assessed, and the future land use evolution of Bengbu City was predicted by simulation using Markov model. The results show that the overall change of land use structure in Bengbu City during the 20 years is mainly the decrease of cultivated land and the increase of man-made surface, and although the transfer out of cultivated land is greater than the transfer in, cultivated land is still the most dominant land use type in Bengbu City during the study period, accounting for more than 70% of the total land area, and it is predicted that the overall change of land use in Bengbu City in the future is still mainly the decrease of cultivated land, while the area of man-made surface continues to show an increasing trend year by year. the trend of the increasing year by year.

remote sensing; dynamic land use change; Markov model; Bengbu City

1) Fan Shuping, Cheng Congkun, Liu Youzhao, Zhang Hongmei, Yu Ran. Review and outlook of land use/land cover research in China[J]. Geographical Research and Development,2017,36(02):94-101.

2) Chen Jun, Chen Lijun, Li Ran, Liao Anping, Peng Shu, Lu Nan, Zhang Yushu. Statistical analysis of global urban and rural construction land spatial distribution and change based on GlobeLand30[J]. Journal of Surveying and Mapping, 2015, 44(11):1181-1188.

3) Su Yuyan. Analysis of land use change in Wuhu City based on RS and GIS [D]. Anhui Normal University, 2007.

4) Niu Xing, Ou Minghao. Research on the dynamic change of regional land use and its structure prediction--Nantong city as an example[J]. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University: Social Science Edition, 2007, 7(1):7.

5) Hulst, Robert A. van. "On the dynamics of vegetation: Markov chains as models of succession." Vegetatio 40 (2004): 3-14.

6) Gregorio, Antonio Di and Louisa J. M. Jansen. "Land Cover Classification System

7) (LCCS): Classification Concepts and User Manual. " (2000).

Volume 05 Issue 11 November 2022

There is an Open Access article, distributed under the term of the Creative Commons Attribution – Non Commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits remixing, adapting and building upon the work for non-commercial use, provided the original work is properly cited.