1*Saurav Khanal,2*Saugat Khanal
1Bachelor of Business studies, Tribhuvan University ,Kathmandu, Nepal
2Faculty of Agriculture, Agriculture and Forestry University, Rampur, Chitwan, Nepal
Corresponding Author : *Saugat Khanal
*Faculty of Agriculture, Agriculture and Forestry University, Rampur, Chitwan, Nepal
DOI : https://doi.org/10.47191/ijmra/v3-i10-01Google Scholar Download Pdf
ABSTRACT:
The current study completely delves into the comprehensive identification, assessment, and mitigation of trade deficit in Nepal. The objective of this article is to study and analyze the growth, composition, and direction of Nepalese foreign trade along with the causes and recommendations of trade deficit. Efforts have been made to sort out the principal sources of the trade deficit in Nepal. Landlockedness, political instability, lack of export diversification, devaluation of domestic currency, lack of resources, etc. are the major causes of the trade deficit in Nepal. Nepal, being not self-reliant on factors of production, consumer goods and capital goods, needs to import goods from abroad. On another hand, Nepal’s exports are heavily concentrated; both in terms of product and destination. Nepal’s major trading partners are India, China, U.A.E, Bangladesh, Germany etc. During the year 2018/19, Nepal exports goods worth RS. 97 Billion And import goods worth RS. 1418 billion leading to a trade deficit of RS.1321 Billion. Nepal mainly exports readymade garments, woolen carpets, pashmina products, jute, juices, etc and imports petroleum products, gold, vehicle, machineries and so on. It is a matter of embarrassing that the value of total exports doesn’t cover even the import of petroleum products. Trade deficit is acting as negative catalyst in the economic growth and GDP of a country. Nepal’s job and wealth are being handed over to other countries that have taken advantage of Nepal since very long. Increased deficit has caused suppressed inflation. Import to export ratio is continuously increasing as demand/consumption is increasing and these demands could not be met by the domestic producers. During the year 2018/19, the contribution of trade on GDP of Nepal is 55%. No doubt, trade is an engine of economic growth. So, after analyzing barriers in the foreign trade, some of the steps to be taken are recommended which includes the development of competitive ability and enhancement of Human Resources, commodity and market diversification, formulation of strong legal framework and trade policy, incentives for the promotion of export and priority in the agricultural and hydropower sectors.
KEYWORDSTrade deficit, causes, export, impacts, import, Nepal, recommendations
REFERENCES
1) Achyut Wagle. (2018, August 7). Trade deficit. Retrieved from The Kathmandu Post: https://kathmandupost.com/money/2018/08/07/trade-deficit
2) Balassa, B. (1989). The importance of trade for developing countries. Directions in the World Economy, 3-31.
3) Batra, R., & Beladi, H. (2013). The US trade deficit and the Rate of Interest. Review of International Economics, 614-626.
4) Benjamin J. Loecken . (2018, fabuary 10). Nepal extravagant Import tax. Retrieved from Grass root News: http://grassrootsnews.tv/2018/02/10/why-nepal-has-the-highest-vehicle
-import-tax-in-the-world/
5) Bureau of Economic analysis. (2020, September 3). Methodologies. Retrieved from Bureau of Economic analysis: https://www.bea.gov/resources/methodologies#national_meth
6) centre, T. a. (2019, May 30). Foreign Trade Balance of Nepal. Retrieved from Trade and export promotion centre: https://www.tepc.gov.np/
7) Dr. Bhubanesh Pant. (2005, August 1). NRB archives. Retrieved September 6, 2020, from archive nrb: https://archive.nrb.org.np/ecorev/pdffiles/vol17_art5.pdf
8) Investopedia. (2019, August 28). Expenditure method. Retrieved from Investopedia: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expenditure-method.asp
9) Investopedia. (2019, August 28). Expenditure method. Retrieved from Investopedia: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/expenditure-method.asp
10) Jagadish Prasad Bist. (2019, November 2). Nepal reliance on agriculture for trade deficit reduction. RetrievedSeptember7,2020,fromTheKathmanduPost:https://kathmandupost.com/columns/2019/11/02/toreduce-the-trade-deficit-nepal-has- to-rely-on-agriculture
11) Kafle, A. (2017). Nepal’s foreign trade: present trends. International Journal of Latest Engineering and Management Research (IJLEMR), 2(11), 1-7.
12) Kenton, W. (2019, June 25). Multi-fiber arrangement. Retrieved from Investopedia: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/multi-fiber-arrangement.asp
13) Macro trends. (2020, July 31). Nepal inflation rate. Retrieved from Macro trends: https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/NPL/nepal/inflation-rate-cpi
14) Maps of World. (2019, August 1). Prime ministers of Nepal. Retrieved from Maps of World: https://www.mapsofworld.com/list-of/prime-ministers-nepal/
15) Nepal Carpet Manufacturer and Exporter Association. (2018, November 11). History of Carpet. Retrieved from Nepalcarpet.org: https://nepalcarpet.org/history-of-carpet/
16) Nepal Law Commission. (2006, November 24). Export and Import Control Act 1957. RetrievedSeptember6,2020,fromLawcommission: http://www.lawcommission.gov.np/en/archives/category/documents/prevailing- law/statutes-acts/export-and-import-control-act-2013-1957
17) Nepal Planning Commission. (2016, December 3). Periodical plan. Retrieved from National planning commission: https://www.npc.gov.np/en/category/periodic_plans/12
18) Nepal Rastra Bank. (2019, July 31). Annual report. Retrieved from Nepal Rastra Bank: https://www.nrb.org.np/contents/uploads/2020/08/Annual-Report-2017.18.pdf
19) Nepal Rastra Bank. (2020, April 31). Economic Bulletin and indicators. Retrieved from NRB: https://www.nrb.org.np/contents/uploads/2019/12/Macroeconomic_Indicators_of_Nepal- 2019-11_November_2019-new.pdf
20) Nepal, G. o. (2019, May 30). Foreign trade balance of Nepal. Retrieved August 28, 2020, from Trade and export promotion centre: https://www.tepc.gov.np/
21) Nepal-India Chamber of Commerce and Industry. (2019, July 31). Trade statistics. Retrieved from Nepal-India Chamber of Commerce and Industry: https://www.nicci.org/pdf/10.%20Comparison%20of%20Nepal's%20Annual%20Total%20E xports%20vs%20Total%20Import%20of%20Petroleum%20Products.pdf
22) New Business Age . (2019, May 28). Import of Vehicles. Retrieved from New businss age: https://www.newbusinessage.com/Articles/view/10778#:~:text=Data%20collected%20fro m%201989%20to,as%20of%20FY%202017%2F18.
23) Prasain, K. (2019, September 16). Export of Nepali Garment hits 13-year high. Retrieved August 31,2020, from The Kathmandu Post : https://kathmandupost.com/money/2019/09/16/export-of-nepali-readymade-garment- hits-13-year-high
24) Silwal, R. (2008). The causes of trade deficit in Nepal. The Hague, Netherlands: Institute of Social studies(ISS).
25) South Asia Watch on Trade, Economics & Environment. (2019, November 12). sawtee. Retrieved from Cash Incentives on Export: https://www.sawtee.org/sawtee-in-media/is- cash-incentive-for-exports-a-flawed-policy%C2%A0.html
26) Statistica. (2020, August 1). Nepal: Unemployment rate. Retrieved from Statistica: https://www.statista.com/statistics/422507/unemployment-rate-in-nepal/
27) Sun koshi craft. (2019, september 23). Chyangra Pashmina. Retrieved from Nepalfine Pashmina: http://nepalfinepashmina.com/about-chyangra-pashmina
28) Tejvan Pettinger. (2017, October 8). Imports and Inflation. Retrieved September 4, 2020, from Economics Help: https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/1491/economics/imports- and-inflation/
29) Trade and Export Promotion Centre. (2019, July 17). Export-Import data bank. Retrieved from Trade and Export Promotion Centre: http://www.efourcore.com.np/tepcdatabank/commoditywise.php?txtmode=search
30) Trade and export promotion centre. (2019, May 30). Foreign trade balance of Nepal. Retrieved from Trade and export promotion centre: http://www.efourcore.com.np/tepcdatabank/
31) Trade and Export Promotion Centre. (2019, July 16). Hand knotted woolen product of Nepal. Retrieved from Trade and Export Promotion Centre: https://www.tepc.gov.np/major_products/full_content
32) Trade and Export Promotion Centre. (2019, July 17). Woolen Carpet . Retrieved from Trade and Export Promotion Centre: https://www.tepc.gov.np/major_products/full_content/hand-knotted-woolen-carpet-of-nepal.
33) Trade and Export Promotion Centre. (2019, July 17). Woolen carpets. Retrieved from Trade and Export Promotion Centre: https://www.tepc.gov.np/major_products/full_content/hand-knotted-woolen-carpet-of-nepal
34) Trade and Export Promotion Centre. (2020, July 31). Glimpse of Nepal's foreign trade. Retrieved from Trade and Export Promotion Centre: https://www.tepc.gov.np/pages/tepc- publication
35) Trading Economics. (2020, August 31). Nepal Imports. Retrieved from Trading Economics: https://tradingeconomics.com/nepal/imports#:~:text=Imports%20in%20Nepal%20averag ed%2044934.88,NPR%20in%20October%20of%202001.&text=Nepal%20Imports%20%2D% 20values%2C%20historical%20data,updated%20on%20September%20of%202020.
36) Udit Misra. (2019, November 6). Trade deficit. Retrieved from Indian Express: https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-what-is-trade-deficit-and-what- does-it-signify-6104561/
37) World Bank. (2019). Trade (% of GDP)-Nepal. Retrieved August 29, 2020, from World Bank indicator: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS?end=2019&locations=NP&start=19 60&view=chart
38) World bank. (2020, September 02). Trading economics. Retrieved from Trading economics: https://tradingeconomics.com/nepal/trade-percent-of-gdp-wb-data.html
39) World Trade Organization. (2016, 07 29). WTO Membership. Retrieved from World Trade Organization: https://www.wto.org/english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/org6_e.htm
VOLUME 03 ISSUE 10 OCTOBER 2020
Our Services and Policies
Authors should prepare their manuscripts according to the instructions given in the authors' guidelines. Manuscripts which do not conform to the format and style of the Journal may be returned to the authors for revision or rejected.
The Journal reserves the right to make any further formal changes and language corrections necessary in a manuscript accepted for publication so that it conforms to the formatting requirements of the Journal.
International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Analysis will publish 12 monthly online issues per year,IJMRA publishes articles as soon as the final copy-edited version is approved. IJMRA publishes articles and review papers of all subjects area.
Open access is a mechanism by which research outputs are distributed online, Hybrid open access journals, contain a mixture of open access articles and closed access articles.
International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research and Analysis initiate a call for research paper for Volume 07 Issue 12 (December 2024).
PUBLICATION DATES:
1) Last Date of Submission : 26 December 2024 .
2) Article published within a week.
3) Submit Article : editor@ijmra.in or Online
Why with us
1 : IJMRA only accepts original and high quality research and technical papers.
2 : Paper will publish immediately in current issue after registration.
3 : Authors can download their full papers at any time with digital certificate.
The Editors reserve the right to reject papers without sending them out for review.
Authors should prepare their manuscripts according to the instructions given in the authors' guidelines. Manuscripts which do not conform to the format and style of the Journal may be returned to the authors for revision or rejected. The Journal reserves the right to make any further formal changes and language corrections necessary in a manuscript accepted for publication so that it conforms to the formatting requirements of the Journal.